Long-range Forecasting
Bulletins
YEAR
TOPIC
YEAR
TOPIC
05 JUN 2024
ASEAN Climate Outlook Forum
Twenty Second Session of the ASEAN Climate Outlook Forum (ASEANCOF-22)
The Twenty-Second session of ASEANCOF (ASEANCOF-22) was organised by the Department of Meteorology and Hydrology of Lao PDR, RIMES, the ASEANCOF Working Group, and WMO. Participants from the NMHSs of ASEAN Member States created a consensus forecast for the boreal summer monsoon 2024 in the ASEAN region. The consensus for the June-July-August (JJA) 2024 outlook was achieved through a hybrid session, which included presentations from different NMHSs, questionnaires, and discussions regarding the current climate conditions and predictions for Southeast Asia. There was also two-day pre-COF training, conducted by the UK Met Office under the WISER Asia Pacific project and RIMES. The theme of ASEANCOF-22 was Agriculture and Climate Services, with a focus on drought. On the last day of ASEANCOF-22, a sharing session was held which included presentations from UN ESCAP, FAO, and WFP, as well as di...
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30 NOV 2023
ASEAN Climate Outlook Forum
Twenty First Session of the ASEAN Climate Outlook Forum (ASEANCOF-21)
The Twenty-First session of ASEANCOF (ASEANCOF-21) was organised by Meteorological Service Singapore (MSS) in collaboration with ASMC and the ASEANCOF Working Group. ASEANCOF-21 marked 10 years since the first ASEANCOF was held in December 2013. Participants from the NMHSs of ASEAN Member States created a consensus forecast for the boreal winter monsoon 2023/2024 in the ASEAN region. The consensus for the December-January-February (DJF) 2023/2024 outlook was achieved through an online session, which included presentations from different NMHSs, questionnaires, and discussions regarding the current climate conditions and predictions for Southeast Asia. The theme of ASEANCOF-21 was ‘The Future of Climate Services in Southeast Asia’’.
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01 JUN 2023
ASEAN Climate Outlook Forum
Twentieth Session of the ASEAN Climate Outlook Forum (ASEANCOF-20)
The Twentieth session of ASEANCOF (ASEANCOF-20) was organised by ASMC and the ASEANCOF Working Group. Participants from the NMHSs of ASEAN Member States created a consensus forecast for the boreal summer monsoon 2023 in the ASEAN region. The consensus for the June-July-August (JJA) 2023 outlook was achieved through an online session, which included presentations from different NMHSs, questionnaires, and discussions regarding the current climate conditions and predictions for Southeast Asia. In particular, ASEANCOF considered the influence of the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) on the climate system over Southeast Asia. The theme of ASEANCOF-20 was ‘Advances in climate services on subseasonal to seasonal timescales’.
28 MAR 2023
ASMC
ASMC Climate Bulletin (Mar 2023)
July – December 2022 Climate Review
- An Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) event in Q3 of 2022 with continued La Niña conditions in the second half of 2022.
March to August 2023 Climate Outlook
- La Niña conditions likely to transition into ENSO neutral by Q2 2023.
- Above-normal rainfall is predicted over northern Maritime Continent and much of Mainland Southeast Asia, with below-normal rainfall predicted over much of southern half of the Maritime Continent.
30 NOV 2022
ASEAN Climate Outlook Forum
Nineteenth Session of the ASEAN Climate Outlook Forum (ASEANCOF-19)
The Nineteenth session of ASEANCOF (ASEANCOF-19) was organised by Meteorological Service Singapore (MSS) in collaboration with ASMC and the ASEANCOF Working Group. Participants from the NMHSs of ASEAN Member States created a consensus forecast for the boreal winter monsoon 2022-2023 in the ASEAN region. The consensus for the December-January-February (DJF) 2022-2023 outlook was achieved through an online session, which included presentations from different Global Producing Centres (GPCs), NMHSs, questionnaires, and discussions regarding the current climate conditions and predictions for Southeast Asia. The theme of ASEANCOF-19 was climate services for agriculture. On the last day of ASEANCOF-19, a webinar was held involving both producers and users of seasonal outlooks, including presentations on using climate services for agriculture.
04 OCT 2022
ASMC
ASMC Bulletin (Issue #10, Sep 2022)
Contents of Issue #10:
- Climate Review (January – June 2022): La Niña event persisted in the first half of 2022
- Regional Fire and Haze Situation (January – June 2022): Persistent dry conditions and transboundary smoke haze over the Mekong sub-region
- Climate and Haze Outlook (September 2022 – February 2023): Negative IOD until November and La Niña likely to persist for the rest of this year
- Significant weather events in Southeast Asia articles from NCHMF, PAGASA, BDMD and TMD
- ASMC events: ASEANCOF-18
03 JUN 2022
ASEAN Climate Outlook Forum
Eighteenth Session of the ASEAN Climate Outlook Forum (ASEANCOF-18)
The Eighteenth session of ASEANCOF (ASEANCOF-18) was organised by the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical, and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) in collaboration with the ASMC and the ASEANCOF Working Group. Participants from the NMHSs of ASEAN Member States created a consensus forecast for the boreal summer monsoon 2022 in the ASEAN region. The consensus for June-July-August (JJA) 2022 outlook was achieved through an online session. There was also a special focus on monsoon variability, with a presentation from the Regional Working Group on Asian-Australian Monsoon (AAM-WG).
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06 APR 2022
ASMC
ASMC Bulletin (Issue #9, Mar 2022)
Contents of Issue #9:
- Climate Review (July – December 2021): A weak negative IOD event followed by a late re-emerging of La Niña conditions
- Regional Fire and Haze Situation (July– December 2021): A subdued haze season over the southern ASEAN region
- Climate and Haze Outlook (March – August 2022): Signs of La Niña decay
- Significant weather events in Southeast Asia articles from NCHMF, TMD, BDMD and PAGASA
- Regional activities and ASMC events: ASEANCOF-17 and Webinar on Hotspot and Haze Assessment (H2A) for the ASEAN Region